Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.468536 0.513622 0.562864 0.620948 0.687990 0.763431 0.855441
2025-10-19 0.393842 0.454939 0.527014 0.619594 0.737285 0.884667 1.087841
2025-10-26 0.344300 0.410935 0.493504 0.605746 0.758349 0.965043 1.278594
2025-11-02 0.308176 0.376660 0.464649 0.589506 0.768438 1.026792 1.452215
2025-11-09 0.281629 0.350876 0.442511 0.577288 0.779355 1.088122 1.636707
2025-11-16 0.260542 0.329855 0.423894 0.566542 0.789091 1.147101 1.830588
2025-11-23 0.243416 0.312495 0.408288 0.557639 0.799221 1.206956 2.041625
2025-11-30 0.234332 0.305392 0.406301 0.568480 0.841738 1.329377 2.415697
2025-12-07 0.222810 0.293814 0.396550 0.565728 0.860444 1.411579 2.733873
2025-12-14 0.212518 0.283228 0.387289 0.562518 0.877429 1.493326 3.084406
2025-12-21 0.200446 0.269217 0.371696 0.547148 0.869952 1.523466 3.314459
2025-12-28 0.196520 0.267090 0.374285 0.562609 0.922203 1.692078 4.023646
2026-01-04 0.191613 0.263407 0.374505 0.574700 0.971458 1.871438 4.911753
2026-01-11 0.184772 0.256361 0.368836 0.575803 0.999041 2.008392 5.777620
2026-01-18 0.175994 0.245765 0.356558 0.563484 0.996293 2.067255 6.388703
2026-01-25 0.167517 0.235209 0.343674 0.548840 0.986410 2.104871 6.949794
2026-02-01 0.160336 0.226374 0.333164 0.537804 0.983136 2.160999 7.675778
2026-02-08 0.153912 0.218457 0.323755 0.528089 0.981596 2.222567 8.521496
2026-02-15 0.148216 0.211464 0.315542 0.520034 0.982908 2.294094 9.546688
2026-02-22 0.145757 0.209653 0.316241 0.529842 1.028917 2.525808 12.158418
2026-03-01 0.141557 0.204750 0.311160 0.527353 1.043916 2.658726 14.349485
2026-03-08 0.137555 0.200003 0.306090 0.524449 1.057483 2.792652 16.998640
2026-03-15 0.132209 0.192781 0.296179 0.510535 1.040080 2.803886 18.344302